Fantasy Baseball

By motle • Feb 24th, 2008 • Category: Fantasy Sports

  usa today These are from the USAToday. Their 56 page fantasy special will come out Monday. These are not my projections, they can be found at www.fantasybits.com .

The game is back in the infield, with names like Hanley Ramirez, Jose Reyes and Jimmy Rollins leading a run-and-gun game. Major league players stole 2,918 bases last year, up from 2,565 two years ago. That’s nearly a 14% increase.

Reflecting that, nine of the top 11 players in USA TODAY Sports Weekly’s overall rankings this year are infielders, though Ryan Braun of the Milwaukee Brewers will be moving from third base to left field this season.

These projections are based on projections for performance this season and taking into account factors such as potential for trades and injury. Players are listed with their current teams and positions at which they are eligible to be drafted in leagues with a 20-game minimum requirement.

1. Hanley Ramirez, Marlins — SS

Legitimate hitters (.332, 29 home runs in 2007) who can steal 50 bases are so rare that it makes sense to jump on Ramirez early. He’s our No. 1-ranked player and should be a five-category player, especially if he ends up hitting third for the Marlins.

2. Alex Rodriguez, Yankees — 3B

The emergence of several other 40-plus basestealers who can also hit is the only thing that keeps Rodriguez from being the No. 1-ranked player. Still, you can’t go wrong at all grabbing him at the first opportunity. The theatrics of the opt-out situation in October should be well behind him in spring training.

3. David Wright, Mets — 3B

Joining the 30-30 club cemented Wright as an easy first-round pick. You won’t find many other players that can contribute as well in all five categories.

4. Jose Reyes, Mets — SS

Reyes is still leading off for the Mets and running wild (78 stolen bases in 2007). He had a bit of a slump late last season, but the stolen base production was still there. He could get more rest this season, in an effort to avoid a late-season falloff in his production.

5. Albert Pujols, Cardinals — 1B

Theoretically, Pujols had a bad year last season, but he’s still the No. 1 first baseman. Positional scarcity and the emergence of more players who steal 40-50 bases pushed him slightly lower in the overall rankings, but you still can’t go wrong with him.

6. Miguel Cabrera, Tigers — 3B

Cabrera could lose some points on his average (.320 for Florida in 2007) with the move to the American League. But he’ll be on a winning team with a strong lineup for the first time in a while. Comerica Park also is a slightly better ballpark for right-handed power hitters.

7. Chase Utley, Phillies — 2B

Utley was working on an MVP-type season when he got hit on the hand in July. Over a full season, he’s an easy choice as the top second baseman and among the first 10 picks in any draft.

8. Matt Holliday, Rockies — OF

Holliday is the top outfielder in our rankings. Despite the changes from the humidor, Holliday still has massive home/road splits (25 home runs at Coors Field vs. 11 on the road). But his overall numbers are good enough not to be concerned with that outside of head-to-head leagues when he happens to be on the road for an entire week.

9. Carl Crawford, Rays — OF

Crawford’s speed and potential for additional power make him the No. 1 outfielder in the American League and a strong candidate to be a first-round pick. Although he had a drop in home runs last season (18 to 11), it’s nearly impossible to ignore a potential 50-60 steals.

10. Jimmy Rollins, Phillies — SS

The NL MVP is actually the No. 3 shortstop in fantasy terms. He’s still a great value and a multicategory hitter, but Reyes and Ramirez are a slight notch above him.

11. Johan Santana, Mets — SP

Santana was the top pitcher in the AL. Now he’ll be even better. He’s joining one of the NL’s best teams and facing inferior competition. Last season was essentially a down year for Santana (15-13), but he should be back to his old self with New York.

12. Ryan Braun, Brewers — 3B

Braun moves to left field this season, but remains eligible at third and, in fact, can only be drafted as a third baseman until he gets enough at-bats in the outfield. The less-demanding position can only help him, but there might be a short adjustment period. He will also be able to play a full nine innings every game without the concern for his defense late in the game.

13. Alfonso Soriano, Cubs — OF

Soriano could be slightly undervalued by owners who don’t remember his decrease in stolen bases (41 to 19) was related to a thigh injury last season. He should approach his previous levels. He’ll continue to lead off for the Cubs, which limits his RBI potential.

14. Prince Fielder, Brewers — 1B

Given he’s 23, Fielder could actually continue to improve this year (.288, 50 home runs, 119 RBI last season). He’s an easy choice late in the first round for a mixed draft or in the top five in NL-only leagues.

15. Ryan Howard, Phillies — 1B

Unless your league counts how many times he strikes out (a record 199 in 2007), there’s nothing bad to be said about Howard. His average was down (.313 to .268) in part because of a left thigh injury that put him on the DL in May.

16. David Ortiz, Red Sox — DH

Some of Ortiz’s power turned into doubles last season as he went on to post a career-high OPS of 1.066 with 35 home runs. He had offseason knee surgery and will be at full strength at spring training. Expect 40-home run power to return.

17. Jake Peavy, Padres — SP

Until Johan Santana was traded into the NL, Peavy was the league’s top pitcher (19-6, 2.54 ERA). Everything should go right for him again this year, so he’s an easy selection in the second round of mixed drafts or late in the first round in NL-only leagues.

18. Brandon Phillips, Reds — 2B

Phillips has finally become a true five-tool performer and multi-category fantasy player. He should thrive under new manager Dusty Baker.

19. Carlos Beltran, Mets — OF

Some of Beltran’s fantasy production depends on whether Carlos Delgado and the rest of the Mets lineup rebounds from a down year. Beltran should have another year in line with 2007 and has a chance to reach his previous levels.

20. Vladimir Guerrero, Angels — OF

Guerrero should see more time at DH this year in the hopes of keeping him healthy. The Angels will have a better lineup this year, which should mean more runs and RBI for Guerrero. He’s still a top-five outfielder in any league.

21. Grady Sizemore, Indians — OF

Sizemore will remain consistently excellent this year. He’s a five-category player with a chance for increased power as he gets older. He’s an easy choice among the first 10 outfielders taken and will go top-five in some drafts.

22. Magglio Ordonez, Tigers — OF

Ordonez had an incredibly good season for a 33-year-old with a history of injury. His 2007 batting average (.363) was so much higher than in the last few seasons that it’s practically guaranteed to drop to his career norms (.312). He’ll do well with a strong lineup around him, but his price will tend to be inflated in many leagues.

23. Carlos Lee, Astros — OF

Lee is a consistent power hitter (32 home runs, 119 RBI) in a great ballpark for right-handers. He’ll be batting fifth this season, which could cost him some runs scored in 5×5 leagues.

24. Lance Berkman, Astros — 1B-OF

Berkman is settling in as a perennial top fantasy first baseman. He’ll be hitting fourth, with Miguel Tejada in front of him. If Tejada returns to form, look for plenty of RBI opportunities for Berkman.

25. Ichiro Suzuki, Mariners — OF

Ichiro’s stolen bases will likely remain in the 30s this season, and his power has further diminished to the point where he had only 35 extra-base hits last season. But he?s so consistently great with batting average and runs scored that he remains a top performer.

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